F1 Post Race Betting and Strategy Analysis – Korean Grand Prix 2011

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Lewis Hamilton started the race from pole position, but his race lead was short lived.

Vettel used the slipstream of Hamilton’s car in lap 2, and without the use of DRS, Vettel overtook Hamilton in turn 3, and never fell behind since.

Vettel’s odds to win the race prior to the race were 3.00.

Three to four stops were expected before the race, but it turned out to be a two stops race.

There were a few turning points to the race results.

The first turning point was obviously Vettel’s overtaking move on Hamilton in lap 2, turn 3.

As we saw how difficult it was for Webber to overtake Hamilton in the second half of the race. Vettel’s early race move got him the eventual race victory.

The second turning point was the safety car period. This stretched the lives of the supersoft tyres that were used by the front runners at the time. This meant one less pit stop was required, and hence less strategy options during the race.

The final bit that ruined Hamilton’s chance at victory was the battle between Hamilton and Webber for the second place. Hamilton was close to one second behind Vettel before the second pit stop. But the battle with Webber made him lose about 10 seconds.

Hamilton finished the race 12 seconds behind Vettel.

The outcomes of the races ever since Belgium Grand Prix have been a complete contrast to what most people would have guessed.

Red Bull used to be untouchable on the tracks with high speed corners, and McLaren used to have much more advantages in straight line dominant tracks.

However Red Bull has won all straight line dominant tracks such as Spa, Monza and Korea, and McLaren has won in Suzuka. These results are completely opposite to what the experts would have expected early this season.

The next race Indian Grand Prix is two weeks away. The track again consists of long straights.

After seeing the results on the second half of the season, the Indian Grand Prix circuit looks to be more Red Bull friendly.

F1 Race Betting Analysis – Korean Grand Prix 2011

Saturday, October 15, 2011

After 15 grand prix starts on the 2011 Formula One World Championship, there is finally going to be a non Red Bull car that starts the race from pole position at Korean Grand Prix.

The last time Red Bull did not start the race from pole position was 2010 Singapore Grand Prix.

Lewis Hamilton snapped Red Bull’s one year long pole position streak.

Hamilton looked like a completely different driver to the one we have seen in the past few races. He driving was precise and faultless during qualifying of Korean Grand Prix.

This shows McLaren has finally caught up with Red Bull. Only it was too late to make any differences to the outcome of the championship.

The weather forecast looks good for the race. It will be a sunny day with ambient temperature on top of about 24 degrees Celsius.

F1 Betting Strategy

Judging from the recent forms, Hamilton and Button look like they will have better race pace than Vettel.

Button is on top of his form after winning the previous race in Japan. But he is starting from third, which means he will likely be busy fighting against Vettel in the first stint of the race.

Red Bull is not very fast when trailing behind the wake of another car.

Therefore as long as Hamilton keeps Vettel behind his back, he should have Vettel covered for the race.

Tyre wear will be the major concern during the race. As the supersoft tyres is usually not suitable for a race track like this.

Hamilton should win the race if he keeps the lead after the start and look after his tyres reasonably during the race. The leading car usually has better tyre management than the cars following behind.

Button’s ability to look after his tyres will be a bigger threat to Hamilton’s race victory than Vettel.

Recommended Bet

• Race Winner – Hamilton 2.37

Weather Forecast

It is going to be a sunny Sunday on the sky of Suzuka. The ambient temperature will still be on top of 23 degrees Celsius.

Korean Grand Prix Betting Odds

Race Winner

Hamilton:          2.37

Vettel:               3.00

Button:             4.00

Webber:           17.00

Alonzo:            17.00

Massa:             51.00

Rosberg:          101.00

Schumacher:   101.00

Podium Finish

Hamilton:          1.33

Vettel:               1.33

Button:              1.45

Webber:            2.20

Alonzo:             2.50

Massa:              6.50

Rosberg:           17.00

Schumacher:   41.00

Petrov:              51.00

Senna:             101.00

Kobayashi:      201.00

Sutil:                 101.00

Di Resta:           101.00

Points Finish

Rosberg:          1.25

Schumacher:    1.50

Senna:             2.75

Kobayashi:       2.37

Sutil:                 1.83

Alguersuari:     2.10

Buemi:             2.37

Di Resta:          1.83

Perez:              2.37

Petrov:             1.67

Barrichello:      5.00

Maldonado:     4.50

Kovalainen:     34.00

Trulli:               34.00

Glock:              67.00

Ricciardo:       67.00

D’Ambrosio:    67.00

Liuzzi:             67.00

F1 Qualifying Betting Analysis – Korean Grand Prix 2011

Friday, October 14, 2011

As it turned out, it was yet another raining day in Yeongam, Korea. Michael Schumacher topped FP1 and Hamilton topped FP2.

Qualifying and the race will likely be in dry conditions. So this makes the result of Friday practice sessions somewhat irrelevant.

However it is no doubt that Hamilton has a chance to stop Red Bull’s pole position streak this weekend.

The weather forecast shows cloudy on Saturday and sunny on Sunday.

F1 Betting Strategy

DRS will play a significant role in qualifying and race of Korean Grand Prix. Especially when this track has the longest straight of all circuits on the championship.

McLaren’s new DRS enhanced rear wing seems to have brought them the edge over Red Bull in Japanese Grand Prix last week.

Betting on Hamilton to qualify on pole position seems to be a good choice this week.

Hamilton has consistently qualified better than his fellow teammate Button this year, despite several poor performances in the races. Hamilton would have still out-qualified Button had he crossed the start-finish line in time at Suzuka last week.

And on top of that, Hamilton’s odds are at 5.00!

The results on FP3 will reveal the pace of each team’s qualifying speeds. If a McLaren driver tops FP3, then it means Hamilton will likely take pole position.

The race looks a bit unpredictable at this stage as there are quite a few overtaking spots on this track. This track consists long straight, fast and slow corners. With the use of DRS, it will definitely be an exciting race to watch!

Recommended Bets:

• Pole Position – Hamilton 5.00

Korean Grand Prix Betting Odds

Pole Position

Vettel:              1.72

Hamilton:         5.00

Button:             6.50

Webber:           7.50

Alonzo:            11.00

Massa:             67.00

Rosberg:          101.00

Schumacher:   101.00

Race Winner

Vettel:               2.37

Button:             4.00

Hamilton:          4.50

Alonzo:             6.50

Webber:           8.00

Massa:             51.00

Rosberg:          101.00

Schumacher:   101.00

Place

Vettel:              1.20

Button:             1.67

Hamilton:         1.67

Alonzo:            1.91

Webber:           2.00

Massa:             7.50

Rosberg:          17.00

Schumacher:   17.00

F1 Pre Weekend Betting Analysis – Korean Grand Prix 2011

Thursday, October 13, 2011

In 2010, Korean Grand Prix was a major turning point to the championship.

On the soaking wet race track of Korean International Circuit, the then championship points leader Mark Webber crashed out, and his teammate Sebastian Vettel had a mechanical failure to his car while leading the race. The race victory was handed to Fernando Alonzo, and this gave him a chance to still be a driver’s title contender in the final race of the year – Abu Dhabi Grand Prix.

In contrast, the championship is already decided when Formula One arrives in Korea in 2011.

As the result of Japanese Grand Prix, the bookmakers have now lengthened the odds on Vettel to win the race. For the first time since Italian Grand Prix, Vettel’s odds are beyond 2.00.

The weather forecast shows it is a cloudy Friday, but sunny on both Saturday and Sunday. The ambient temperature will be on top of around 24 degrees – much similar to the conditions in Suzuka last week.

F1 Betting Strategy

On a circuit where there is no data to look at on the dry conditions, plus the supersoft tyres brought by Pirelli, there are more questions than answers to who has the upper hand at this stage.

The strategy on betting Alguersuari to finish in top 10 has not gone well since Singapore Grand Prix.

This is because the midfield teams that made to qualifying session 3 are now choosing not to set a lap time and save a set of tyres for the race.

We will see some more of this happening in qualifying session 3 this weekend.

As the championship is over, Pirelli is using this weekend as an opportunity to evaluate their tyres for next year. The super soft compound is usually not suitable for a track like Yeongam.

There are quite a number of unpredictable factors to the race at this stage, and weather is unlikely to be the major one this year.

Let’s see how Friday practice sessions go. Perhaps Red Bull’s pole position streak is coming to an end.

Korean Grand Prix Betting Odds

Pole Position

Vettel:              1.67

Hamilton:         6.00

Webber:           6.50

Button:             6.50

Alonzo:            10.00

Massa:             51.00

Rosberg:          101.00

Schumacher:   101.00

Race Winner

Vettel:               2.30

Button:              4.00

Hamilton:          5.50

Webber:           7.50

Alonzo:             6.50

Massa:             51.00

Rosberg:          101.00

Schumacher:   101.00

Place

Vettel:              1.20

Button:             1.67

Hamilton:         1.80

Alonzo:            1.83

Webber:           2.00

Massa:             6.50

Rosberg:          13.00

Schumacher:   15.00