F1 Post Race Betting Analysis – Brazilian Grand Prix 2011
Monday, November 28, 2011
The 2011 Brazilian Grand Prix turned out to be a dry race, but the winner was a surprise.
Vettel for the second race in a row suffered mechanical failure. The previous race in Abu Dhabi it was a puncture in the right rear tyre that forced him to retire. This time it was a problem with the gearbox.
Looking at Mark Webber’s performance this year, it was difficult to imagine he would win a race with consistent poor results from the race starts. However Webber pulled himself together on this final race of the year. He maintained second position after the race start, and just when Vettel was forced to slow down due to gearbox problem, Webber was able to inherit Vettel’s position of race leader.
It would have been just another Vettel victory had there been no issue with his gearbox, nevertheless Webber drove brilliantly and finally got himself the first win in the 2011 F1 season.
Mark Webber’s odds to win the race after qualifying were $6.00.
Jenson Button did not have the pace to challenge the Red Bulls in the first stint of the race. He struggled with the new version of Pirelli soft tyres, which is more durable, but perhaps less grip.
Button would have been in a better position to challenge the Red Bulls had there been rain, however it was not the case in Brazilian Grand Prix this year.
The 2011 F1 season is over, the winter break this time is a few weeks shorter than the previous years. That is good news to F1 fans.
The 2012 F1 season will start in Melbourne, Australia on 18th of March. Which is two weeks earlier than the usual time in order to accommodate the 20 races championship.
There will be more races than ever next year, and hopefully there will be more competitions on the championship!
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F1 Race Betting Analysis – Brazilian Grand Prix 2011
Sunday, November 27, 2011
The threat of wet weather was there, but it turned out to be a dry qualifying session. As the result, Sebastian Vettel took another pole position and set an all time F1 record of 15 pole positions in one season.
Pirelli’s soft tyre this weekend is said to be more durable than its previous version. Hence there is less likelihood of Vettel’s pace dropping off half way through the race, like he did in Japan.
The threat of wet weather is still there, hence the race will once again be interesting.
Jenson Button has won two of the three wet races this season. Once it starts to rain, or when a wet track is drying up, Button’s race pace will be on a class of his own. His strategy and lap times will be monitored closely by every team.
F1 Betting Strategy
In the dry condition, McLaren should be able to give Red Bull a run for their money. But since it is a Red Bull front row start, there is more chance of Vettel winning another race. Vettel is paying $1.67 to win the race, and Button is paying as far as $5.50.
However the threat of wet weather will not go away. The safest way to bet in wet weather condition is not to bet at all, but if any bet is to be placed, then it has got to be Button to win the race.
It has been said Button is exceptionally brilliant in changeable weather conditions, he may not be as quick as other elite drivers such as Hamilton, Vettel and Alonzo in dry conditions, but his record of victories in wet races makes him stands out from the rest.
It is going to be a long race if it rains, but it surely will not be a boring race to watch!
Speculating Bet
- Race Winner – Jenson Button $5.50
Brazilian Grand Prix Betting Odds
Race Winner
Vettel: 1.67
Button: 5.50
Webber: 6.00
Hamilton: 8.00
Alonzo: 15.00
Massa: 101.00
Rosberg: 81.00
Schumacher: 151.00
Podium
Vettel: 1.17
Button: 1.62
Webber: 1.62
Hamilton: 1.72
Alonzo: 2.20
Massa: 11.00
Rosberg: 13.00
Schumacher: 26.00
Points Finish
Sutil: 1.50
Di Resta: 1.80
Senna: 2.10
Alguersuari: 2.63
Petrov: 2.75
Kobayashi: 2.75
Buemi: 2.75
Barrichello: 3.00
Perez: 3.25
Maldonado: 7.00
Trulli: 34.00
Kovalainen: 34.00
D’Ambrosio: 51.00
Ricciardo: 51.00
Liuzzi: 51.00
Glock: 51.00
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F1 Qualifying Betting Analysis – Brazilian Grand Prix 2011
Saturday, November 26, 2011
Friday’s practice times reveals it is close between McLaren and Red Bull. However it is very likely that weather will once again play a part in qualifying.
Last year’s qualifying result was affected by wet weather. It was then Williams driver Nico Hulkenburg who took pole position. The front runners failed to set the fastest time of Q3 at the right time, hence there was a surprising result to qualifying!
Hulkenburg lost his race lead right into turn 1 on the first lap.
On a dry condition, Vettel should once again claim pole position. His odds are currently $1.67. Which is slightly longer than his usual odds before qualifying.
However as mentioned, weather will highly likely play its part in qualifying, hence it is better to keep the hands off the bets at this stage.
F1 Betting Strategy
Jenson Button is definitely the guy to put the money on whenever there is change in weather conditions during the race.
Two of his three victories this season have come from wet races, and six of his 12 F1 career victories have come from wet races.
Such record in wet condition speaks for itself.
Qualifying results will not be as important if the race turns out to be wet.
Given the fact that weather in Sau Paulo is difficult to predict. Any bets placed this weekend will be at higher risk than usual.
Speculating Bet
- Race Winner – Jenson Button $6.00
Brazilian Grand Prix Betting Odds
Pole Position
Vettel: 1.67
Hamilton: 3.50
Webber: 9.00
Button: 10.00
Alonzo: 21.00
Massa: 101.00
Rosberg: 201.00
Schumacher: 201.00
Race Winner
Vettel: 2.00
Hamilton: 4.00
Button: 6.00
Webber: 8.50
Alonzo: 11.00
Massa: 51.00
Rosberg: 151.00
Schumacher: 151.00
Place
Vettel: 1.20
Hamilton: 1.45
Button: 1.62
Webber: 1.72
Alonzo: 2.20
Massa: 11.00
Rosberg: 26.00
Schumacher: 26.00
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F1 Pre Weekend Betting Analysis – Brazilian Grand Prix 2011
Friday, November 25, 2011
The 2011 Formula One season is coming to an end this weekend in Brazil. It has been three races since Vettel clinched the 2011 title, but there is still one race remaining on the calendar.
After an exciting four ways battle in 2010 season, it is hard to believe 2011 would turn out to be Sebastian Vettel’s one man show.
Brazilian Grand Prix has previously held some epic grand finales, such as in 2007 and 2008, but certainly it won’t be as exciting this year.
Vettel had an unfortunate DNF at the opening lap of Abu Dhabi Grand Prix two weeks ago, but fortunately it happened after he had clinched the title. That is a complete contrast to his 2010 campaign.
Without any surprise, Vettel is still bookmaker’s favourite to win pole position and the race. His odds for pole position is $1.62, and to win the race is $1.83.
The weather is Brazil is unpredictable. There are footages of chaos caused by wet weather everywhere on YouTube in Brazilian GP.
F1 Betting Strategy
Pirelli has brought the soft (yellow) and medium (white) compounds of tyres to Brazilian GP.
However the soft compound is a revised version. It is said to be more durable during the race. It will be interesting to see its performance in practice and qualifying. Most of times this season when Pirelli introduces a new compound of tyres, they have received criticisms from drivers and engineers.
Due to the factors of track, variable weather and tyres, putting bet on Vettel to win the race has higher risks than other races this season.
Firstly Vettel’s tyre performance suffered more degradation than Button on a much similar styled high speed track on Japanese Grand Prix three races ago, hence Vettel did not win the race from pole position.
Secondly the variable weather in Sau Paolo, Brazil means there is a very good chance of the race being held at wet condition. Looking at the record this season, Jenson Button is the way to go whenever the race is affected by rain.
Speculating Bet
- Race Winner – Jenson Button $6.50
Brazilian Grand Prix Betting Odds
Pole Position
Vettel: 1.62
Hamilton: 4.20
Webber: 8.00
Button: 10.00
Alonzo: 17.00
Massa: 101.00
Rosberg: 201.00
Schumacher: 201.00
Race Winner
Vettel: 1.83
Button: 6.50
Hamilton: 4.33
Webber: 9.00
Alonzo: 9.00
Massa: 56.00
Rosberg: 151.00
Schumacher: 151.00
Place
Vettel: 1.20
Button: 1.62
Hamilton: 1.50
Alonzo: 1.91
Webber: 2.00
Massa: 12.00
Rosberg: 26.00
Schumacher: 26.00
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